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	<title>Comments on: My letter to the Yorkshire Evening Post</title>
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	<description>Labour Party councillor for Rothwell, Woodlesford, Oulton and Carlton on Leeds City Council</description>
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		<title>By: Paul C</title>
		<link>http://www.karenbruce.co.uk/2007/01/08/my-letter-to-the-yorkshire-evening-post/comment-page-1/#comment-15</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul C</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 13 Jan 2007 07:50:48 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Cllr Carter&#039;s comments are absolutely breathtaking.
This is one of the biggest social problems we face in Leeds, and to dismiss it as (effectively) an administrative quirk defies belief.
I just don&#039;t know how this is soluble though, unless LCC simply builds more houses.  But the unavailability of land, combined with the willingness of private developers to build blocks of &#039;professional&#039; flats seemingly anywhere in Leeds means that it&#039;s not a problem that can be resolved anytime soon.
It&#039;s a liquidity problem - in reverse - private developers have access to so much cheap debt that they&#039;re happy to leverage up their schemes on the back of rising prices in the future - and investors and financial institutions are happy to back their bet.
The question is whether it&#039;s sustainable.  As an example, where I live (Methley), a developer is currently building flats and houses where the New Bay Horse used to be, and has gutted and refurbished a row of 4 terraced houses adjacent to the plot.  As I understand it though, not one has yet sold.  £150k for a 2 bed terrace is unaffordable for anyone who wants to live there, and is not a viable private investment (say, £500/month rent=£6k per year=4%) - the yield&#039;s too low - you may as well put the money in the bank.  It&#039;ll be interesting to see what happens, but with interest rates ticking up and wage inflation remaining low, the prospects for sale are even worse - inevitably the price will have to come down, and probably materially so.
Clearly, this is a tiny issue in a tiny dormitory village of Leeds - but if this became a trend, and sentiment moved against Leeds as a place to drop new blocks of flats - and interest rates ticked up - and the price of steel (another issue entirely) kept moving up - then perhaps the market will have intervened on LCC&#039;s behalf to resolve house prices and affordability.
But this is a long term shift - and LCC has to act now, whether PFI or self-funded - or face widening the division between the have lots and the have nots in Leeds.
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		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Cllr Carter&#8217;s comments are absolutely breathtaking.<br />
This is one of the biggest social problems we face in Leeds, and to dismiss it as (effectively) an administrative quirk defies belief.<br />
I just don&#8217;t know how this is soluble though, unless LCC simply builds more houses.  But the unavailability of land, combined with the willingness of private developers to build blocks of &#8216;professional&#8217; flats seemingly anywhere in Leeds means that it&#8217;s not a problem that can be resolved anytime soon.<br />
It&#8217;s a liquidity problem &#8211; in reverse &#8211; private developers have access to so much cheap debt that they&#8217;re happy to leverage up their schemes on the back of rising prices in the future &#8211; and investors and financial institutions are happy to back their bet.<br />
The question is whether it&#8217;s sustainable.  As an example, where I live (Methley), a developer is currently building flats and houses where the New Bay Horse used to be, and has gutted and refurbished a row of 4 terraced houses adjacent to the plot.  As I understand it though, not one has yet sold.  £150k for a 2 bed terrace is unaffordable for anyone who wants to live there, and is not a viable private investment (say, £500/month rent=£6k per year=4%) &#8211; the yield&#8217;s too low &#8211; you may as well put the money in the bank.  It&#8217;ll be interesting to see what happens, but with interest rates ticking up and wage inflation remaining low, the prospects for sale are even worse &#8211; inevitably the price will have to come down, and probably materially so.<br />
Clearly, this is a tiny issue in a tiny dormitory village of Leeds &#8211; but if this became a trend, and sentiment moved against Leeds as a place to drop new blocks of flats &#8211; and interest rates ticked up &#8211; and the price of steel (another issue entirely) kept moving up &#8211; then perhaps the market will have intervened on LCC&#8217;s behalf to resolve house prices and affordability.<br />
But this is a long term shift &#8211; and LCC has to act now, whether PFI or self-funded &#8211; or face widening the division between the have lots and the have nots in Leeds.</p>
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